SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Preston North End |
72.92% ( -0.3) | 16.9% ( 0.23) | 10.18% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( -0.9) | 40.91% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( -0.92) | 63.3% ( 0.93) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.2% ( -0.3) | 9.79% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.45% ( -0.71) | 32.55% ( 0.71) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.3% ( -0.46) | 47.7% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.99% ( -0.34) | 83.01% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Preston North End |
| 2-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 72.91% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.9% | 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.18% |
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