SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Leeds United |
43.71% ( 0.23) | 23.27% ( 0.11) | 33.02% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.67) | 38.15% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( -0.72) | 60.42% ( 0.72) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.18) | 17.88% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.34% ( -0.31) | 48.66% ( 0.31) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.51) | 22.97% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( -0.76) | 56.76% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 43.71% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.02% |
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