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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
IL

Leeds
4 - 0
Ipswich

Struijk (8'), Davis (25' og.), Summerville (45' pen.), Piroe (52')
James (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Clarke (29'), Tuanzebe (60'), Broadhead (65'), Ball (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Ipswich Town

We certainly anticipate a tight and high-quality encounter at Elland Road on Saturday between two of the Championship's standout sides and cannot quite pick a winner. Given the 10-point gap between them, it is Leeds who really require a victory, but Kieran McKenna's men should have what it takes to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
50.44% (-0.196 -0.2) 22.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.7% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.11 0.11)39.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.113 0.11)62.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.052 -0.05)45.34% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.19 0.19)27.89% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.244 0.24)63.5% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.44%
    Ipswich Town 26.7%
    Draw 22.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Leeds
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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