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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 39.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (4.98%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
39.53% ( -0.11) | 20.51% ( -0.03) | 39.96% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 75.54% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.14) | 22.85% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.95% ( 0.2) | 42.05% ( -0.19) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( 0.03) | 13.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.15% ( 0.05) | 39.85% ( -0.05) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( 0.11) | 13.01% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.45% ( 0.22) | 39.55% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.53% | 2-2 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 39.96% |
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