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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
55.85% ( -0.08) | 19.43% ( 0.06) | 24.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 71.45% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.28) | 24.98% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.11% ( -0.36) | 44.89% ( 0.36) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% ( -0.1) | 9.35% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.49% ( -0.25) | 31.51% ( 0.25) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.15) | 21.18% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( -0.23) | 54.05% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.44% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.71% |
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