SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
53.7% ( -1.04) | 20.78% ( 0.29) | 25.52% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 67.1% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.63) | 30.86% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.76) | 52.23% ( 0.76) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.19% ( -0.5) | 11.81% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.95% ( -1.07) | 37.04% ( 1.08) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 0.17) | 23.91% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( 0.25) | 58.12% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.7% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.52% |
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