SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
46.3% ( -0.43) | 21.17% ( 0.03) | 32.53% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 71.11% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.16% ( 0.04) | 27.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.05) | 48.53% ( -0.05) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.12) | 12.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.6% ( -0.25) | 39.39% ( 0.25) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.22) | 18.32% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( 0.37) | 49.4% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 32.53% |
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