SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Brest |
43.27% ( -0.03) | 25.53% ( -0.01) | 31.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( 0.04) | 49.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( 0.03) | 71.27% ( -0.03) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0) | 22.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% ( 0) | 56.3% ( -0) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.04) | 29.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.52% ( 0.05) | 65.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.2% |
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