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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
BL

Lens
3 - 2
Brest

Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 0-0 West Ham
Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Brest

Surely something must give, as both teams seek to end their dismal opening-day records, and it is most likely that Lens will do so, due to a combination of home advantage and their greater firepower up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
53.21% (-0.191 -0.19) 24.56% (0.02 0.02) 22.23% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 50.09% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)51.47% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.085000000000001 0.09)73.28% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)19.29% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)51.04% (0.061 0.06)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (0.222 0.22)37.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (0.214 0.21)74.7% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lens 53.21%
    Brest 22.23%
    Draw 24.56%
LensDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 0-0 West Ham
Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Inter Milan
Saturday, July 23 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lens
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Nantes
Saturday, April 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Brest
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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