Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
31.55% (![]() | 26.92% (![]() | 41.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.23% (![]() | 54.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.92% (![]() | 76.08% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% (![]() | 32.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% (![]() | 68.52% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% (![]() | 26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% (![]() | 61.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.48% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.77% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 11.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.52% |
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