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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
LL

Brest
1 - 1
Lens

Le Douaron (54')
Camara (25'), Herelle (29'), Lees-Melou (38'), Bizot (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gradit (83')
Medina (26'), Fofana (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 0-1 Lens

With Lens losing their bite amid a spate of injuries and Brest proving more and more resilient under Roy, a high-scoring affair should be off the cards here, especially with both sides demonstrating an affinity for closely-fought draws. Haise's side have not been able to replicate their previously brilliant home form on the road, but with Sotoca and Openda both well-rested and raring to go, Haise's men should just about get the job done to maintain their unassailable lead in the podium spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
19.07% (-0.103 -0.1) 23.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 57.57% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.34 -0.34)50.44% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.302 -0.3)72.37% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-0.314 -0.31)40.64% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (-0.285 -0.29)77.23% (0.285 0.28)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)17.28% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.182 -0.18)47.61% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.07%
    Lens 57.56%
    Draw 23.36%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.033 0.03)
2-1 @ 5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 12.32% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.82% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.33% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 57.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 4-0 Angers
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Brest
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Lille
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 PSG
Sunday, January 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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