SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
41.74% ( -0.43) | 25.54% ( 0.07) | 32.72% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( -0.19) | 48.75% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% ( -0.17) | 70.85% ( 0.17) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.29) | 23.2% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.9% ( -0.43) | 57.09% ( 0.43) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( 0.14) | 28.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.04% ( 0.17) | 63.96% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.72% |
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