SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
52.59% ( -0.13) | 25.13% ( 0.05) | 22.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0.13) | 53.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0.11) | 75.11% ( 0.11) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.11) | 20.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( -0.17) | 52.8% ( 0.17) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0) | 39.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.2% ( -0) | 75.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.28% |
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