SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
31.91% ( -0.7) | 27% ( 0.26) | 41.09% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.02% ( -1.21) | 54.98% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( -1.01) | 76.25% ( 1.01) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( -1.09) | 31.91% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( -1.27) | 68.35% ( 1.27) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( -0.32) | 26.33% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( -0.43) | 61.47% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.09% |
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