SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.7%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.43%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Seychelles |
68.63% ( -1.05) | 21.19% ( 0.45) | 10.19% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 34.82% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% ( -0.18) | 58% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( -0.14) | 78.69% ( 0.14) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.41) | 16.13% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( -0.75) | 45.56% ( 0.75) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.52% ( 1.11) | 58.48% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.15% ( 0.59) | 89.85% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Seychelles |
| 1-0 @ 17.21% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 15.7% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.97% Total : 68.62% | 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.19% |
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