SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seychelles | Draw | Kenya |
4.94% ( 0.16) | 11.62% ( 0.1) | 83.44% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 39.22% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.33) | 35.88% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( 0.37) | 57.96% ( -0.36) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.84) | 58.13% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.33% ( 0.45) | 89.67% ( -0.45) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.67% ( 0.02) | 6.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.21% ( 0.04) | 23.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seychelles | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.94% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 11.62% | 0-2 @ 14.01% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 12.89% ( -0.18)0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 8.9% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 4.91% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)1-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 83.44% |
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