SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Seychelles |
51.42% ( -0.28) | 27.93% ( 0.04) | 20.65% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.44% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% ( 0.06) | 64.41% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.52% ( 0.04) | 83.48% ( -0.04) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.1) | 25.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.14) | 60.34% ( 0.14) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.94% ( 0.29) | 47.06% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.47% ( 0.22) | 82.53% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Seychelles |
| 1-0 @ 16.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 51.41% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.65% |
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