Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.69%) and 0-3 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
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