SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.69%) and 0-3 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seychelles | Draw | Zambia |
6.18% ( -0) | 14.9% ( -0.01) | 78.92% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( 0.02) | 46.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( 0.01) | 68.31% ( -0.01) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.14% ( 0) | 60.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.92% ( 0) | 91.08% ( -0) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( 0) | 9.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.01) | 32.11% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seychelles | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 1.58% Total : 6.18% | 1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.9% | 0-2 @ 16.04% 0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 12.52% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-4 @ 7.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0)0-5 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 78.9% |
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