It would not be a surprise to see this match go all the way to penalties, but we are expecting Levante to triumph in the second leg. The home side have been excellent in recent weeks and should have just enough in front of their own supporters to secure a return to Spain's top flight for the 2023-24 campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.49%).
0.04) 
-0.04) 
