Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.1) 
