Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 28.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
40.22% ( 0.77) | 30.83% ( 0.07) | 28.96% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 38.97% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.69% ( -0.4) | 68.31% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.86% ( -0.26) | 86.14% ( 0.26) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.55% ( 0.27) | 33.44% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( 0.29) | 70.08% ( -0.29) |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% ( -0.92) | 41.44% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% ( -0.82) | 77.95% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.22% | 0-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.82% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.23% Total : 28.95% |
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