Despite Alaves poor away record this season, Sunday presents an opportunity to build on their positive win against Espanyol and the visitors are likely to be more driven to three points, as Levante are all but relegated.
It is likely to be a low-scoring affair given the sides' record in the final third, but Levante will be down after a heavy defeat in midweek, which is in contrast to Alaves.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
0.64) 
-0.14) 
