Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
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