Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.52) 
