Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Alcorcon
46.37% ( -0.78)	27.91% ( 0.25)	25.72% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 44.24% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.13% (

-0.51)

60.87% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.1% (

-0.38)

80.9% (

0.38)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

-0.62)

26.32% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

-0.83)

61.45% (

0.84)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

0.19)

39.96% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39% (

0.18)

76.61% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 46.36%

Alcorcon 25.72%

Draw 27.9%

Cartagena	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.95% Total : 46.36%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.72%