Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.