SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Alcorcon |
63.81% ( -0.79) | 22.39% ( 0.21) | 13.8% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 41.4% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( 0.34) | 54.99% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( 0.27) | 76.26% ( -0.28) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( -0.15) | 16.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.27) | 46.61% ( 0.27) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.71% ( 1.13) | 50.29% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.14% ( 0.76) | 84.86% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 15.03% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 63.79% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.8% |
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