Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
-0.79) 
0.21) 
