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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
L

Lille
3 - 4
Lyon

Diakite (21', 85'), Zhegrova (37')
Gomes (28'), Arnar Haraldsson (80'), Yoro (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benrahma (65'), Fofana (82'), Lacazette (88'), Balde (90+2')
Nuamah (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lille
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Lyon

Lille have been outstanding at home, and we are trusting that consistency on Monday, while we believe Lyon may suffer a letdown given their emotional victory against Monaco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawLyon
54.27% (-1.21 -1.21) 22.42% (0.301 0.3) 23.31% (0.904 0.9)
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (-0.351 -0.35)41.13% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (-0.359 -0.36)63.53% (0.353 0.35)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.518 -0.52)15.13% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (-0.985 -0.98)43.7% (0.98099999999999 0.98)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (0.593 0.59)31.2% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (0.686 0.69)67.54% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.27%
    Lyon 23.31%
    Draw 22.42%
LilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.173 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lille
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Lille
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Marseille
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Brest
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Valenciennes
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Reims
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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