SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
54.27% ( -1.21) | 22.42% ( 0.3) | 23.31% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.35) | 41.13% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.36) | 63.53% ( 0.35) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( -0.52) | 15.13% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.98) | 43.7% ( 0.98) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( 0.59) | 31.2% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.46% ( 0.69) | 67.54% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.31% |
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