SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
46.74% ( 0.06) | 23.63% ( -0.04) | 29.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.17) | 41.46% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( 0.18) | 63.86% ( -0.18) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( 0.09) | 17.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% ( 0.16) | 48.82% ( -0.16) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.07) | 26.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( 0.1) | 61.89% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.63% |
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