SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
41.13% ( -0.27) | 25.27% ( -0.06) | 33.6% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( 0.34) | 47.35% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.32) | 69.57% ( -0.32) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0.01) | 22.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( 0.02) | 56.64% ( -0.02) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0.37) | 27.02% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( 0.48) | 62.37% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.6% |
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