SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Rosenborg |
44.75% ( -0.03) | 22.8% ( -0.04) | 32.46% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.8% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.24) | 36.03% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.26) | 58.13% ( -0.26) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.08) | 16.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( 0.15) | 46.46% ( -0.15) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.15) | 22.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( 0.23) | 55.73% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 32.46% |
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