SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 26 | 41 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 22 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Valerenga Fotball | 22 | 6 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 22 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 22 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 26 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Lillestrom |
58.22% ( 1.26) | 21.21% ( -0.1) | 20.56% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61% ( -1.1) | 38.99% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.68% ( -1.17) | 61.32% ( 1.16) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( 0.01) | 13.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.13% ( 0.04) | 39.86% ( -0.05) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -1.7) | 32.47% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( -1.96) | 68.99% ( 1.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.46)1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.61% Total : 58.22% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.41% Total : 20.56% |
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