Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 23

Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Rosenborg
3 - 1
Lillestrom

Tengstedt (6'), Saeter (11', 51')
Giampaoli (9'), Borkeeiet (47'), Tengstedt (76'), Dahl Reitan (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lehne Olsen (49')
Fridjonsson (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Rosenborg and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.

Result
Rosenborg	Draw	Lillestrom
58.22% ( 1.26)	21.21% ( -0.1)	20.56% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 58.64% (

-1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61% (

-1.1)

38.99% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68% (

-1.17)

61.32% (

1.16)

Rosenborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

0.01)

13.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

0.04)

39.86% (

-0.05)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

-1.7)

32.47% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

-1.96)

68.99% (

1.95)

Score Analysis

Rosenborg 58.22%

Lillestrom 20.56%

Draw 21.21%

Rosenborg	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.46) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.61% Total : 58.22%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 20.56%