SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Lillestrom |
44.92% ( -0.74) | 24.22% ( 0.1) | 30.86% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( -0.13) | 43.56% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( -0.13) | 65.95% ( 0.13) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.37) | 19.56% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( -0.6) | 51.47% ( 0.59) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.35) | 26.89% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( 0.46) | 62.2% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.86% |
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