SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Lillestrom |
37.43% ( -0.03) | 23.16% ( -0) | 39.41% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.32% ( 0.02) | 36.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.16% ( 0.02) | 58.83% ( -0.02) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0) | 20.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.01) | 52.22% ( 0.01) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( 0.03) | 19.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( 0.05) | 50.72% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.41% |
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