SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
51.49% ( 0.21) | 23.88% ( -0.02) | 24.62% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.06) | 46.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.05) | 68.62% ( 0.05) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( 0.06) | 18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( 0.1) | 48.87% ( -0.1) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.19) | 32.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.21) | 69.5% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.62% |
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