Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 49%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lillestrom in this match.
Result | ||
Stromsgodset | Draw | Lillestrom |
28% ( 0.44) | 23% ( 0.04) | 49% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.45% ( 0.13) | 39.54% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.11% ( 0.13) | 61.89% ( -0.14) |
Stromsgodset Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.37) | 26.77% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.49) | 62.05% ( -0.49) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( -0.13) | 16.39% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% ( -0.23) | 46.02% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Stromsgodset | Draw | Lillestrom |
2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49% |
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