SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 21 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 21 | 17 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Viking FK | 21 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Stromsgodset | 21 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Tromso IL | 21 | -6 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lillestrom in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
60.68% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( -0.01) | 18.22% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.04) | 42.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( 0.04) | 64.46% ( -0.04) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( 0.02) | 13.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.63% ( 0.03) | 40.37% ( -0.03) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.02) | 36.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( 0.02) | 73.46% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.22% |
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