SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 11 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Stromsgodset | 11 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Molde | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 13 | 7 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Lillestrom |
27.86% ( 0.51) | 22.76% ( 0.35) | 49.39% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( -1.3) | 38.5% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( -1.4) | 60.8% ( 1.4) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.33) | 26.34% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( -0.44) | 61.47% ( 0.44) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( -0.77) | 15.86% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% ( -1.45) | 45.07% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.39% |
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