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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
EC

Lincoln
1 - 0
Exeter

Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Exeter City

A Lincoln unit renowned for keeping things tight at the back will welcome the visit of one of League One's least prolific attacking contingents, although Exeter have often found their best shooting boots away from home rather than at St James Park. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a 1-1 draw, and a contest as close as the table would suggest should also unfold on Saturday, where another low-scoring stalemate is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
40.35% (-0.188 -0.19) 27.32% (0.334 0.33) 32.33% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-1.051 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-1.314 -1.31)56.12% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-1.076 -1.08)77.18% (1.078 1.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.71600000000001 -0.72)27.26% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.944 -0.94)62.7% (0.945 0.95)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.76899999999999 -0.77)32.2% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.883 -0.88)68.69% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.35%
    Exeter City 32.33%
    Draw 27.31%
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.436 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Derby
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One


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