SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Cyprus |
53.43% ( -0.45) | 23.15% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.04) | 44.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.04) | 66.73% ( 0.04) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( -0.17) | 16.56% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.66% ( -0.31) | 46.33% ( 0.31) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.29) | 32.89% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 0.32) | 69.46% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lithuania | Draw | Cyprus |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.41% |
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