SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 89.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 2.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.98%) and 0-4 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Spain |
2.44% ( -0) | 7.71% ( -0.02) | 89.85% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 32.13% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.48% ( 0.1) | 30.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.18% ( 0.12) | 51.82% ( -0.12) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.05) | 66.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.38% ( 0.02) | 93.62% ( -0.02) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.83% ( 0.02) | 4.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.59% ( 0.07) | 17.41% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 2.44% | 1-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 7.71% | 0-3 @ 14.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 13.98% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 11.77% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0)1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)0-7 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 89.83% |
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