SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Lithuania |
19.92% ( 0.21) | 24.18% ( 0.08) | 55.9% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.46% ( -0.04) | 52.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.8% ( -0.04) | 74.2% ( 0.04) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.21) | 40.91% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.53% ( 0.18) | 77.48% ( -0.18) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.13) | 18.67% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -0.21) | 50% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Lithuania |
| 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 19.92% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.89% |
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