SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Serbia |
14.96% ( 0.29) | 22.3% ( -0.07) | 62.74% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 44.27% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.76) | 52.63% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.65) | 74.28% ( -0.65) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.86% ( 0.88) | 47.14% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.41% ( 0.66) | 82.59% ( -0.66) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.19) | 16.26% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.21% ( 0.34) | 45.79% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.96% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 13.92% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 12.64% ( -0.22)1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 7.66% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 62.73% |
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