Lithuania's good form should see them come into the match as favourites, especially considering that they have been strong defensively in their recent outings. Contrastingly, Estonia have been porous defensively as of late, and this could see them struggle in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Estonia
51.28% ( 2.7)	25.78% ( -0.73)	22.94% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 47.4% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.55% (

1.1)

55.45% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.36% (

0.9)

76.65% (

-0.89)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

1.66)

21.67% (

-1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

2.48)

54.82% (

-2.47)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

-1.22)

39.48% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-1.15)

76.17% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 51.27%

Estonia 22.94%

Draw 25.78%

Lithuania	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.27%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.94%