A class above their opponents at League C level, an ascendant Romania side should prolong their 100% record at Lithuania's expense.
While the visitors may be bound for League B when the group phase wraps up next month, their ailing hosts are set to stay pointless with just two games to go.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
-0.49) 
0.7) 
