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Nations League | League C
Oct 12, 2024 at 2pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
KN

Lithuania
1 - 2
Kosovo

Golubickas (84')
Girdvainis (14'), Tutyskinas (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zhegrova (20'), Krasniqi (65')
Rrudhani (45+3'), Dellova (51'), Rexhbecaj (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Romania 3-1 Lithuania
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Kosovo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Lithuania 0-2 Kosovo

Both nations will view this fixture as a must-win game if they are to mount a serious challenge for League C promotion. Kosovo may be without their top scorer Muriqi, but they should still have enough quality in the final third to get the better of Lithuania. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
LithuaniaDrawKosovo
29.36% (0.104 0.1) 27.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 43.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.01% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)55.93% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)77.03% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (0.107 0.11)34.26% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (0.115 0.11)70.96% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)25.44% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)60.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 29.36%
    Kosovo 43.62%
    Draw 27.02%
LithuaniaDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.36%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 11.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Romania 3-1 Lithuania
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-1 Cyprus
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Estonia (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, June 8 at 2pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: Lithuania 1-0 Gibraltar
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Kosovo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Kosovo
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 2-0 Kosovo
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Kosovo
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Belarus
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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