SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
10.64% ( -0.23) | 16.42% ( -0.09) | 72.94% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.26) | 37.19% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.6% ( -0.29) | 59.4% ( 0.29) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.66% ( -0.6) | 44.34% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.6% ( -0.49) | 80.4% ( 0.5) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( 0.01) | 8.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.7% ( 0.02) | 30.3% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 10.64% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.42% | 0-2 @ 11.53% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 9.33% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.65% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 72.94% |
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