Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
15.35% ( 0.06) | 17.49% ( 0.04) | 67.16% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 61.84% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.9% ( -0.05) | 30.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.68% ( -0.05) | 51.31% ( 0.05) |
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( 0.05) | 32.54% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( 0.06) | 69.08% ( -0.05) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.68% ( -0.03) | 8.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.01% ( -0.08) | 28.99% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 15.35% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.49% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.72% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.02% 1-6 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 67.16% |
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