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Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs Ladies
0 - 2
Man City Women


Summanen (45+1'), Ahtinen (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Turner (9' og.), Shaw (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-4 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, January 21 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 1-2 Manchester City Women

While we do not expect Man City to repeat November's 7-0 win over Spurs, we do believe that the visitors will do enough to extend their five-game winning run in head-to-head meetings with Tottenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawManchester City Women
15.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 17.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 67.16% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.84% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.9% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)30.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.68% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)51.31% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (0.049999999999997 0.05)32.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (0.056000000000001 0.06)69.08% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)8.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.01% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)28.99% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 15.35%
    Manchester City Women 67.16%
    Draw 17.49%
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 4.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 15.35%
1-1 @ 7.55% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.49%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 4.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.02%
1-6 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 67.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 3-4 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, January 21 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Arsenal Women
Saturday, December 16 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-4 Man Utd Women
Sunday, December 10 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 7-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 1-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 9 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 7-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-3 Man City Women
Sunday, November 19 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 0-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Women's Super League


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