SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
49.14% ( -0) | 25.83% ( 0.01) | 25.02% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% ( -0.03) | 53.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( -0.03) | 75.4% ( 0.03) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.02) | 21.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% ( -0.02) | 55.28% ( 0.02) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( -0.02) | 36.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( -0.02) | 73.51% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.02% |
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