SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen of the South |
55.74% ( 1.04) | 24.13% ( -0.41) | 20.13% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.86) | 52.11% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( 0.74) | 73.83% ( -0.74) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.73) | 18.56% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( 1.21) | 49.82% ( -1.21) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.56% ( -0.17) | 40.44% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( -0.16) | 77.05% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.13% |
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